INTERACTIVE TOOL // LABOUR-SHOCK STRESS TEST

AI Job Exposure Checker

The question is not only “will AI replace my job?” Jobs are bundles of tasks. Score the work you actually do and see which parts could face the strongest AI pressure — then stress-test what that could mean for household income in a faster, uglier transition.

WORST-CASE LABOUR SHOCK

SCENARIO: autonomous agents become cheap enough to absorb large volumes of digital work within months. Employers freeze recruitment, compress teams and automate routine output faster than retraining systems can react. Your occupation still exists — but the market value of half its tasks changes before your household budget does.

This checker estimates task exposure, not redundancy probability. Exposure can mean automation, augmentation or changed skill requirements.

Describe the task mix

Choose how much of a normal working week each category represents. The options are deliberately broad; this is a stress test, not an occupational classification.

Your AI task-exposure result

Score the eight task categories to estimate where AI pressure may be strongest.

Exposure is not the same thing as losing a job

International research on generative AI exposure repeatedly makes this distinction. An occupation may contain many tasks that AI can assist with while still requiring human judgement, responsibility, physical presence or interpersonal work. The result may be faster output, fewer junior tasks, changed staffing ratios, new roles or, in some cases, displacement. A task-level checker cannot tell you which outcome an employer or economy will choose.

The ILO's 2025 refined global index estimates that roughly one in four workers worldwide are in occupations with some degree of generative-AI exposure, while only a much smaller share fall into the highest-exposure category. Its central conclusion is that transformation is more likely than complete replacement for most jobs because human input remains necessary. That is why this tool reports exposure rather than pretending to know your redundancy odds.

Where the pressure could arrive first

Highly digitised, repeatable information tasks are easier for current generative systems to touch than work requiring physical manipulation in messy environments. Drafting standard text, routine administration, basic research, coding assistance and digital production can all experience significant AI pressure. Physical repair, direct care, real-world inspection, accountable decisions and complex human negotiation contain different bottlenecks.

But low exposure today is not a permanent shield. Better robotics, stronger multimodal models and more capable agents could move the boundary. The useful household question is therefore not “am I safe forever?” It is “which parts of my income depend on tasks that could become cheaper or faster to automate, and what would I do if demand for those tasks changed quickly?”

The fictional doomsday labour scenario

Take the transition to its worst plausible fictional extreme. Agent systems become capable enough to run large portions of office workflows with minimal supervision. Companies cut layers of routine work simultaneously. Freelance markets flood with machine-generated output. Entry-level routes into professional careers narrow. At the same time, misinformation and automated trading shocks destabilise confidence. Households do not experience “AI” as a robot at the door; they experience it as a payslip that stops arriving.

That is why income resilience belongs on a survival site. Emergency cash, lower fixed commitments, transferable skills, copies of qualifications, offline records and the ability to keep operating during digital disruption can all buy time. The point is not to panic about a percentage. It is to identify concentration risk before a fast economic transition makes the household discover it involuntarily.

Evidence baseline

The ILO assesses exposure at task and occupation level and stresses that exposure does not automatically mean replacement; transformation is the more likely outcome for most occupations in its current analysis.

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